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超级计算机模拟25000次,预测西班牙问鼎_我的网站

A | The Biden administration is drafting a $100 billion foreign aid package that includes assistance for Israel as well as other top security priorities, according to two people familiar with the details.Details on the spending request were still being finalized ahead of an official request sent by the White House to Congress this week.One person told ABC News that the “bulk” of the assistance will likely go toward Ukraine, while others also said that it included $10 billion for Israel. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity in order to discuss details that hadn't been announced yet by the White House.The request comes as President Joe Biden travels to Israel in a show of unity with the Jewish state following the brutal Oct. 7 attack on civilians by Hamas terrorists from Gaza.On Capitol Hill, Senate leaders suggested Tuesday that such a sweeping aid package would find support among lawmakers."We'd like to get the supplemental package moved as quickly as possible because the needs are great in both Israel and Ukraine," said Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer of New York.Republican Leader Mitch McConnell said he would support bundling aid for Ukraine and Israel and that he expects the administration to include money for border security, too."The border part of it needs to be credible, not just some reference to it but a credible deal," he told reporters.Bloomberg was first to report the $100 billion total.The aid proposal for Israel follows extensive discussions between the two countries, with Israel appearing to opt -- at least for now -- against a massive ground invasion of Gaza, even as international groups accuse Israel of worsening a humanitarian crisis by not allowing food or water into Gaza and cutting off electricity.Behind closed doors, Biden officials have grown deeply worried about hardliners within Israel pushing for a scorched-earth military response that wouldn't do enough to prevent civilian casualties, according to a senior administration official who spoke on condition of anonymity. At one point this week, aides believed that only the president himself could convince officials there that allowing humanitarian aid in Gaza would be in their country’s best security interests.When asked about those discussions, White House National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said they’re not telling the Israeli military how to operate and that civilians should be protected. At the same time, following the law of war is critical and something Biden has pressed Israel on, he said.“Since almost the very, very beginning here, we have been talking about how important it is for democracies, like Israel and the United States, to stand up for the law of war, to respect innocent civilian life, unlike Hamas. So this is a foundational element of the discussions that we've had with the Israelis for forever, and we'll continue to do that going forward," Kirby told ABC's "Good Morning America."Following lengthy meetings earlier this week between Secretary of State Antony Blinken and his Israeli counterpart, the two allies seemed to have reached some kind of consensus. Details of the aid package are now circulating among U.S. officials as Biden is en route to the region.Budget experts say Israel’s assistance needs aren’t likely to be urgent due to a 2016 agreement that provides Israel $3.8 billion a year over 10 years. More pressing, they say, is Ukraine, which has run out of long-term funding as it seeks to fend off Russia.Some House Republicans have questioned the need for more U.S. aid to Ukraine. By tying Ukraine and Israeli aid in a single legislative package, the White House would make it harder for GOP hardliners -- who are staunch allies of Israel -- to reject it.Pro-Israeli groups have also called on Biden to include at least $500 million in grant funding for Jewish communities in the U.S. to protect synagogues and other community sites due to threats. It was not immediately clear if that request was part of Biden’s aid package as of Tuesday.ABC's Chief Global Affairs Correspondent Martha Raddatz and ABC reporters Justin Gomez and Shannon Crawford contributed to this report.。
近40天时间、无数跌宕起伏的足球故事,即将迎来终章——当地时间7月19日,美国纽约新泽西体育场,美加墨世界杯决赛,阿根廷队对阵西班牙队。

B | ——这将是一场注定载入史册的对决,多项纪录将被改写。这是世界杯史上首次现任美洲杯冠军(阿根廷队)与欧锦赛冠军(西班牙队)在决赛中正面碰撞,也是国际足联世界排名第一与第二的球队,首次在最高舞台上狭路相逢。

C | 2022年12月18日,阿根廷队球员在2022卡塔尔世界杯颁奖仪式上庆祝。新华社记者 曹灿 摄阿根廷队是2022年卡塔尔世界杯冠军,若此役再胜,他们将继意大利队(1934、1938)与巴西队(1958、1962)之后,成为史上第三支完成卫冕的球队。西班牙队则志在复刻“黄金一代”2008年欧锦赛和2010年世界杯的连冠伟业,在2024年欧锦赛登顶之后,再于今夏捧起队史第二座大力神杯。阿根廷队本届世界杯七战全胜,若决赛再下一城,他们将继2002年巴西队之后,成为又一支单届世界杯保持全胜的冠军之师。西班牙队则已各项赛事连续37场常规时间未尝败绩,决赛如能保持不败,将创造欧洲球队历史最长的连续不败纪录。7月14日,西班牙队球员亚马尔(右)在2026美加墨世界杯半决赛中。新华社记者 胡星宇 摄——这也是两种同源而异流的拉丁足球哲学,在世界最高舞台上的交锋。作为两大传统足球强国,同以西班牙语为纽带,西班牙与阿根廷共享注重技术的拉丁足球基因。同时,两国足球交流渊源深厚:西班牙往往是阿根廷球员登陆欧洲的第一站,阿根廷队阵中目前有多人效力于西甲俱乐部。然而,植根于不同的土地,两国的足球演化走向了不同方向。西班牙队保留了欧洲式的严谨与纪律,强调整体运转,创造了独树一帜的tiki-taka传控体系;阿根廷队则被南美大陆塑造得热烈奔放,更强调身体对抗,也更善于依靠球星个人能力撕开防线。7月15日,阿根廷队球员劳塔罗·马丁内斯(右五)在2026美加墨世界杯半决赛中头球破门。

D | 新华社记者 曹灿 摄本届世界杯,西班牙队展现出无与伦比的节奏掌控力和对对手进攻的压制力。据知名数据平台Opta统计,他们将对手场均预期进球数限制至仅0.31个,创下自1966年有记录以来的最低值。这也帮助他们完成六场“零封”,已是单届世界杯最高“零封”纪录。若决赛再保球门不失,西班牙队将创造单届最少失球(1球)的历史纪录。与西班牙队的稳健相比,阿根廷队的淘汰赛之旅可谓步步惊心:3:2加时击败佛得角队、“让二追三”逆转埃及队、3:1加时战胜瑞士队、2:1“绝杀”英格兰队。尽管暴露出状态起伏的短板,但阿根廷队总能在关键时刻依靠冠军底蕴、球星闪光乃至一丝运气涉险过关。两队在世界杯历史上仅有一次交手,在1966年小组赛,阿根廷队2:1获胜。7月14日,西班牙队球员拉波尔特(中)在2026美加墨世界杯半决赛后庆祝。新华社记者 陈益宸 摄在Opta超级计算机的25000次赛前模拟中,西班牙队夺冠概率为59.6%,阿根廷队为40.4%。

E | 仅看常规时间,西班牙队胜出的概率为45.0%,双方打平的概率为29.0%,阿根廷队在90分钟内直接取胜的概率为26.0%。不过,两场半决赛的最终胜者,均是赛前模拟中胜率更低的一方。

F | 这足以说明,当战至最后关头,各队实力只在毫厘之间,胜负的天平往往倾斜于主帅的战术博弈与球员的意志较量。狭路相逢,智者胜,勇者胜。来源:新华社微信公众号记者:肖世尧、岳冉冉、赵建通期待决赛!
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